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Analysis SVM UK Emerging Fund Plc (SVM)

5/30/2024

Analysis SVM UK Emerging Fund Plc (SVM)

Analysis of SVM UK Emerging Fund Plc (SVM)

The SVM UK Emerging Fund Plc has been showing some volatility in its recent price movements. The RSI indicator values are around 48, indicating a neutral stance. The MACD indicator is negative, suggesting a bearish trend, with the MACD line below the signal line.

Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are close to each other, indicating a possible consolidation phase. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is also in line with the other moving averages.

Overall, the fund seems to be in a consolidation phase with a slightly bearish bias based on the MACD indicator. Traders and investors may want to monitor the price action closely for any potential breakout or trend reversal signals.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past 5 years. However, the company is still projected to experience healthy growth both in the short term and over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with a most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.

In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock price summary shows a beta of 1.264, with a 52-week low of $164.08, a high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Valuation metrics include a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 39.34, price-to-sales ratio of 7.65, enterprise-to-EBITDA ratio of 22.76, and enterprise-to-revenue ratio of 7.73.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% and the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. The last dividend date was on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general upward trend in revenue over the past three fiscal years.
- The revenue in FY 2020 was significantly lower compared to the subsequent years, indicating potential growth and expansion in the company's operations.

These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market position over the specified period.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been on an upward trend.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in non-current assets for future growth.
7. Overall, the financial position of the company seems stable and well-managed, with a focus on growth and maintaining a healthy balance between assets and liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
5. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, capital expenditures, and acquisitions.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.

MACD of SVM

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link