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Analysis Taiyo Koki Co., Ltd. (6164)

5/30/2024

Analysis Taiyo Koki Co., Ltd. (6164)

Analysis of Taiyo Koki Co., Ltd. (6164)

Based on the provided data for Taiyo Koki Co., Ltd. (symbol: 6164), here is a short analysis:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 1332.00 and 1414.00 over the past few days, with some volatility in the price range.
- The stock opened at 1340.00 and closed at 1332.00 on the most recent trading day, showing a slight decrease in price.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around 30-40, indicating a neutral to slightly oversold market sentiment.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been decreasing, indicating a downward trend in the stock price.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be in a bearish phase based on the MACD indicator and moving averages.
- The RSI values suggest a neutral to slightly oversold market sentiment, which could indicate a potential reversal or consolidation in the near future.
- Investors should closely monitor the price movements and key technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research and analysis for making investment decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%

From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next 5 years. The current and next quarter growth rates also indicate positive momentum in the short term.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the lowest estimate at $164, the highest at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, while the forward and trailing P/E ratios are moderate. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a reasonable price-to-sales ratio.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, such as net income and EBIT, the overall trend in revenue is positive.
3. The company seems to be effectively managing its cost of goods sold, as gross profit has also been increasing along with revenue.
4. It would be beneficial to analyze the company's revenue streams and strategies to understand the factors driving this consistent growth.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive outlook for both quarterly and annual earnings per share, with expected growth compared to the previous year. It's important to note that these are analyst projections and actual results may vary.

MACD of 6164

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link