Analysis The J. M. Smucker Company (0L7F)
5/30/2024
Analysis of The J. M. Smucker Company (0L7F)
The J. M. Smucker Company (0L7F) has shown a recent uptrend in its stock price, with the price closing at 129.61 on the latest available date. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is at 71.08, indicating that the stock may be overbought.Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal. However, the MACD histogram is positive, indicating a potential reversal in the short term.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a bullish trend.
Overall, while the stock price has been increasing, caution is advised due to the high RSI value and the conflicting signals from the MACD indicator. It would be prudent to monitor the stock closely for any potential reversal in the trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results for February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Valuation metrics show ratios such as P/E, PEG, price to book, and price to sales, as well as enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split history, and dividend yield information. The company has a forward annual dividend rate and a 5-year average dividend yield.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory in the coming years, although at a slightly lower rate compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally been increasing, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities compared to current liabilities.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in all years except for 2023.
9. Common stock value has been increasing over the years.
10. The company has been maintaining a positive total shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with fluctuations in cash flow and cash position over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive outlook with an increase in earnings per share expected for both the next quarter and the next year compared to the previous periods. The number of analysts providing estimates also indicates a strong interest in the company's performance.
MACD of 0L7F
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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