Analysis The Monogatari Corporation (3097)
6/4/2024
Analysis of The Monogatari Corporation (3097)
The Monogatari Corporation, based on the provided data, seems to be a company whose stock symbol is '3097'. Here is a brief analysis based on the recent data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating over the past few days, ranging from a low of 3390.00 to a high of 3530.00. The closing price on the latest available date was 3455.00.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been below 30, indicating that the stock may be oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been trending downwards, indicating a potential bearish sentiment.
3. **Overall Trend**: The stock seems to be in a downtrend based on the technical indicators and moving averages. The RSI, MACD, and moving averages all point towards a bearish sentiment in the market.
4. **Recommendation**: Investors may consider exercising caution when trading Monogatari Corporation's stock, as the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. It would be advisable to wait for a potential reversal or confirmation of an uptrend before considering any long positions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results before that, ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the results for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a decrease in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has experienced a slight increase in the fifty-two-week range.
Valuation metrics show a high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, with the stock trading at a relatively high forward and trailing P/E ratio. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other valuation metrics indicate the company's market position.
The stock price summary highlights key indicators such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, as well as the fifty-two-week low and high prices.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratio, and historical dividend yields. The company has a regular dividend payment and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been on the rise, with a significant increase from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating growth in profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to maintain a stable diluted shares outstanding count over the years, which is important for investors to assess the dilution impact on their ownership.
Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive, showing growth in sales, income, and profitability over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, indicating growth in the company's overall value.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with some years showing higher cash reserves and others showing higher inventory levels.
3. Non-current assets have generally increased, with investments and advances being a significant portion of the assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, influenced by factors such as common stock, retained earnings, and other equity components.
6. The company seems to be investing in non-current assets like machinery, furniture, and equipment, which could indicate expansion or modernization efforts.
7. The company has been managing its debt levels, with fluctuations in both short-term and long-term debt over the years.
8. The provision for risks and charges has also varied, suggesting changes in the company's risk management strategies.
9. Overall, the financial health of the company appears stable, with a focus on balancing assets, liabilities, and equity for sustainable growth.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate further rises to $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with an increasing number of analysts providing forecasts.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has shown a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, analysts project a growth rate of around 9.7% per annum for the next 5 years.
These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's growth, with a gradual increase in the growth rate over the coming years compared to the past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that analysts generally expect the price to increase in the future. However, it's important to note that these are just forecasts and actual market conditions may vary.
MACD of 3097
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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