Analysis Third Point Investors Limited (TPOS)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Third Point Investors Limited (TPOS)
Third Point Investors Limited (TPOS) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The price of TPOS has been relatively stable around 17.50 in the past few days, with minor fluctuations. This stability could indicate a period of consolidation or indecision among investors.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 48, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests a balanced market sentiment.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative but showing signs of improvement. The MACD line is approaching the signal line, which could signal a potential bullish crossover.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a bullish trend in the short term.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment for TPOS. Investors may want to monitor the MACD crossover and the price movement around the moving averages for potential trading opportunities.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to consider other factors like market conditions, news, and fundamental analysis before making any investment decisions.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, the company had been experiencing a steady increase in revenue over the past few years.
- The revenue in FY 2020 was significantly lower compared to the subsequent years, indicating a period of growth for the company.
These trends suggest that the company was on a growth trajectory until FY 2023 when it experienced a decline in revenue. Further analysis of the company's financial statements and market conditions would be needed to understand the reasons behind these revenue fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
Overall, the company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity have been showing an increasing trend over the years, with some fluctuations in between.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not supplied at the time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its forward and trailing P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios indicate the company's valuation in the market.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate to healthy growth expected in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. However, the company is still expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $201.43 and an average forecast of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
MACD of TPOS
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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