Analysis THK Co., Ltd. (6481)
6/1/2024
Analysis of THK Co., Ltd. (6481)
THK Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3000 and 3200, with some volatility in the past few days. The stock closed at 3038 on the latest trading day.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 30-35, indicating a slightly oversold condition but not extremely so.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend. The MACD histogram has been fluctuating around -30, indicating some momentum in the downward direction.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are both above the closing prices, indicating a bearish trend.
3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be in a short-term bearish phase based on the MACD and moving averages.
- The RSI values suggest that the stock is not heavily oversold, so there might be some potential for a rebound.
- Investors should closely monitor the price movements and key support levels to assess the future direction of THK Co., Ltd.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and trends can change quickly in the stock market. It's always recommended to conduct further research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year ending in September 2025.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the near term compared to the past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, including its beta, moving averages, and the range between its fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics reveal the company's price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales ratio, and other key financial indicators. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and PEG ratio provide insights into the company's valuation.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information includes details about the company's dividend payments, dividend yield, payout ratio, and historical split dates. This data can be useful for investors looking to understand the company's dividend policy and shareholder returns.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to the decrease, there was a consistent growth in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022.
- Overall, there has been a significant increase in revenue over the four-year period, indicating positive growth for the company.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly each year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $73,812,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, which might indicate long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on liabilities to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing total liabilities.
8. Shareholders' equity has not been growing at the same pace as total assets, which might indicate a need for better profitability management.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
MACD of 6481
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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