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Analysis Tilaknagar Industries Ltd. (TI)

6/2/2024

Analysis Tilaknagar Industries Ltd. (TI)

Analysis of Tilaknagar Industries Ltd. (TI)

Tilaknagar Industries Ltd. (TI) has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the recent days:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing price on May 31st was 229.80, showing a slight increase from the previous day's closing price of 223.75.
- The stock has been fluctuating between a low of 216.80 and a high of 235.50 in the past week, indicating some volatility in the market.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been hovering around the 50 level, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been negative, indicating a bearish signal in the short term.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are both above the current price, suggesting a potential resistance level.

3. Overall, the stock seems to be trading in a range with some bearish signals from the MACD indicator. Traders and investors may want to monitor the price action closely for potential breakout or reversal signals before making any trading decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the short ratio is low, and the company has a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264, and the 52-week range shows a moderate change.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and forward P/E ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on price to book and price to sales ratios. The market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate ratios for enterprise to EBITDA and revenue.

The stock price summary includes moving averages and the 52-week high and low prices, showing a slight increase over the period.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a low payout ratio, with upcoming dividend and ex-dividend dates. The company has a history of dividends and a moderate dividend yield. The last split was a 4-for-1 split in August 2020.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. The company has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past four years, with a slight decrease in revenue in 2023 compared to 2022.
2. Despite the slight dip in 2023, the revenue figures show a generally positive trajectory, indicating overall growth in the company's sales.
3. The company's revenue in 2022 reached its peak over the four-year period, showing a significant increase from the previous years.
4. The revenue figures suggest that the company has been successful in generating sales and expanding its business operations over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2022 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a need to monitor and manage current liabilities effectively to ensure financial stability.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, indicating potential growth and performance improvement for the company.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The estimates range from a low of $75,869,000,000 to a high of $79,035,500,000. There are 25 analysts providing these estimates.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $81,634,900,000 to $91,144,800,000, with 25 analysts contributing to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $350,189,000,000 to $364,505,000,000, with 38 analysts providing their insights.

Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The estimates range from $353,721,000,000 to $403,636,000,000, with 38 analysts involved in forecasting.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts are generally predicting an increase in the price of the security in the future.

MACD of TI

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link