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Analysis Timberland Bancorp Inc-WA (TSBK)

6/1/2024

Analysis Timberland Bancorp Inc-WA (TSBK)

Analysis of Timberland Bancorp Inc-WA (TSBK)

Timberland Bancorp Inc-WA (TSBK) has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing price on May 31st was $24.75, slightly higher than the opening price of $24.40.
- The stock has been trading in a range between $24.26 and $25.08.

2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 43.77, indicating a neutral sentiment.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -0.16, with the signal line below the MACD line, suggesting a bearish trend.
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator is at $25.56, slightly below the closing price, indicating a potential resistance level.

3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at $25.56, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $25.51, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at $25.54.

Overall, Timberland Bancorp Inc-WA seems to be trading in a narrow range with mixed technical signals. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for a clearer trend confirmation before making any trading decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payment schedule and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022, with a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, indicating the company's ability to generate increasing sales.
- It is important to further analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in revenue from year to year to understand the company's performance and market dynamics.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets, possibly for long-term growth and sustainability.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, which the company manages within its current assets.
8. The company has been retaining earnings and maintaining a stable level of common stock.
9. Overall, the financial health of the company seems robust, with a good balance between assets, liabilities, and equity.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS. This indicates potential growth and positive outlook according to analysts.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to have a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to have an annual growth rate of approximately 9.7%.
- However, in the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1%.

Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a steady growth rate in the upcoming periods, although it is projected to be lower compared to the growth rate achieved in the past 5 years.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57. This indicates that the analysts are generally bullish on the security, with the average and median estimates both higher than the current price.

MACD of TSBK

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link