Analysis Tivic Health Systems, Inc. (TIVC)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Tivic Health Systems, Inc. (TIVC)
Tivic Health Systems, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The price of TIVC stock has been fluctuating between 0.38000 and 0.48000 over the past few days, with some volatility in the price movement.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are consistently below 30, indicating that the stock may be oversold and could potentially see a reversal in the near future.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram is showing signs of convergence, which could indicate a potential trend reversal.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term.
4. **Overall Sentiment**:
- The stock seems to be in a downtrend based on the moving averages and MACD indicator. However, the RSI values suggest that the stock may be oversold and could potentially see a reversal.
5. **Recommendation**:
- Investors should closely monitor the stock for any signs of a trend reversal, especially if the RSI values start to increase and the MACD indicators show further convergence.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and trends can change quickly in the stock market. It is always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%
Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%
Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432
Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429
- Fifty-two week low: $164.08
- Fifty-two week high: $199.62
- Fifty-two week change: 6.853%
Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a general upward trend in revenue over the past four years, indicating growth in the company's top line.
- It would be beneficial to analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in revenue to understand the factors driving the company's performance.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved liquidity.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, especially in investments and advances.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, reaching $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, reaching $62.1 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities to finance its operations.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been consistently high, indicating significant wear and tear on assets.
8. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
9. Cash and cash equivalents have fluctuated but have shown an overall increasing trend.
10. The company has been managing its short-term debt effectively, with varying levels over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
7. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has also been varying, indicating changes in employee incentives.
9. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability and fluctuations, reflecting a dynamic business environment.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is expected to experience steady growth in the short term and maintain a healthy growth rate in the long term.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
MACD of TIVC
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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