Analysis Tlou Energy Ltd (TLOU)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Tlou Energy Ltd (TLOU)
Tlou Energy Ltd is showing some interesting patterns in its recent price movements and technical indicators. Here are some key points from the data provided:1. Price Movement:
- The stock price has been fluctuating between 1.85 and 2.1 in the past few days, showing some volatility in the market.
- The closing price has remained around 2.0 for most of the days, indicating stability in the stock price.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 38-44, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values are negative, indicating a bearish trend in the stock.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, reflecting the recent price movements.
3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be consolidating around the 2.0 price level, with some bearish signals from the MACD indicator.
- The RSI values suggest that the stock is in a neutral position, neither strongly bullish nor bearish.
- Investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any breakout above or below the current price range to make informed trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to consider other factors like market conditions, news, and company fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE ratio of 26.21, and trailing PE ratio of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The company's enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.
In terms of stock price summary, the company has a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, and the change over the past 52 weeks is 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the forward annual dividend yield is 0.53%, while the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating overall profitability growth.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, reflecting strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter a year ago.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher CAGR of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term average.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
MACD of TLOU
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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