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Analysis Toho Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5781)

6/3/2024

Analysis Toho Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5781)

Analysis of Toho Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5781)

Toho Kinzoku Co., Ltd. is showing a consistent uptrend in its stock price based on the provided data. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are consistently above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but the stock price continues to rise. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows positive values, suggesting bullish momentum.

The stock price has been consistently closing above the Moving Average (MA) indicator, which is a positive sign for investors. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market.

Overall, based on the technical indicators and the price action, Toho Kinzoku Co., Ltd. appears to be in a strong bullish trend. Investors may consider this stock for further analysis and potential investment opportunities.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing revenue over the years.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022.

These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and may indicate areas that require further analysis or attention.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total revenue is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate for total revenue is projected to be $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.

2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.

3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.

4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.

5. Past 5 Years: Over the past 5 years, the company has experienced an average annual growth rate of 20.1%.

6. Next 5 Years: Looking ahead, analysts project an average annual growth rate of 9.7% for the next 5 years.

These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's growth, with a gradual increase in the growth rate over the coming years compared to the past performance.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts, on average, expect the price to increase in the future.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has a beta of 1.264, with a 52-week low of $164.08 and a high of $199.62.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The stock is priced at 39.34 times its book value and 7.65 times its sales.

The stock price summary includes a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock has seen a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% on a forward basis and 0.51% on a trailing basis. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor.

MACD of 5781

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link