Analysis Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173)
Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. is showing a bullish trend based on the recent data. The stock price has been increasing steadily over the past few days, with the RSI indicator showing values above 50, indicating a positive momentum. Additionally, the MACD indicator is also showing a bullish signal, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram.The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are all trending upwards, further supporting the bullish outlook for Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Overall, based on the technical indicators, it seems that the stock is in an uptrend and may continue to rise in the near future. However, it is always important to consider other factors such as market conditions and company fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the sales revenue has shown a consistent upward trend.
3. The company has managed to grow its top line consistently, indicating strong market demand for its products or services.
4. Increasing sales revenue can be a positive indicator of the company's overall financial health and growth potential.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
6. Interest paid has also varied, but it seems to be in line with the company's financial activities.
7. Income tax paid has fluctuated, possibly due to changes in profitability and tax regulations.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant expense for the company, impacting its cash flow.
9. The company has been managing its cash flow effectively, despite the fluctuations in various activities.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year. The average estimates are increasing, indicating potential growth in earnings. However, it's important to consider that these are projections and actual results may vary.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The estimates range from a low of $75,869,000,000 to a high of $79,035,500,000. There are 25 analysts providing these estimates.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $81,634,900,000 to $91,144,800,000, with 25 analysts contributing to these estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $350,189,000,000 to $364,505,000,000, with 38 analysts providing their insights.
Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The estimates range from $353,721,000,000 to $403,636,000,000, with 38 analysts involved in forecasting.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with analysts generally optimistic about the future performance of the company.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. However, the company is still expected to maintain a healthy growth rate in the upcoming periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
MACD of 9173
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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