Analysis Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. (4430)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. (4430)
Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. (symbol: 4430) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around the mid-range, indicating a balanced market sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been showing negative values, suggesting a bearish trend.The stock price has been moving within a range, with the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) values indicating a slight downward trend. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has also been showing a similar pattern.
Overall, based on the recent data, Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. seems to be experiencing some downward pressure in its stock price, with indicators pointing towards a bearish sentiment. Investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential changes in trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%.
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023.
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%.
- Most Recent Quarter: March 31, 2024.
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%.
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66.
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares Short: 94,308,265.
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608.
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269.
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%.
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%.
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001.
- Forward P/E: 26.213001.
- Trailing P/E: 29.428572.
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313.
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745.
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726.
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672.
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936.
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906.
- 52-Week Low: $164.08.
- 52-Week High: $199.62.
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%.
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024.
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024.
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1.
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%.
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally been increasing, indicating growth in profitability on a per-share basis.
6. The company's EBITDA has shown a positive trend, indicating strong operational performance and cash flow generation.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBIT margin over the years, reflecting good operational efficiency.
8. The company's interest expenses seem to be well managed, as indicated by the stable non-operating interest income and expenses.
9. The number of shares outstanding has remained relatively stable, which is important for investors to assess the dilution impact on their ownership.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as reflected in its revenues, indicates a positive growth trajectory and effective financial management.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing more in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years. The average estimates are showing an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates that analysts are optimistic about the company's growth prospects in the near future, albeit at a slightly slower pace than in the past.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
MACD of 4430
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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