Analysis Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. (8616)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. (8616)
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. (8616) has shown some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating some indecision in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been positive, suggesting a bullish momentum.The stock price has been trading above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a positive trend. However, the price has been struggling to break above the recent highs, which could signal potential resistance.
Overall, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. shows signs of bullish momentum but may face resistance at higher price levels. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action and key levels for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a particular company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion. The stock is trading at a price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational management.
4. Net income has been growing over the years, suggesting improved profitability.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating potential value creation for shareholders.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational performance.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and taxes, the overall financial performance seems robust and improving.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some key takeaways:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, with notable differences in the amounts between years.
5. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures have fluctuated, impacting the company's overall cash flow position.
7. The company has been consistent in paying dividends to shareholders, with varying amounts each year.
8. Depreciation and stock-based compensation have been significant non-cash items affecting the cash flow statement.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year's quarter. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on the input of 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are predicting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of 8616
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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