Analysis Tokyo Soir Co., Ltd. (8040)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Tokyo Soir Co., Ltd. (8040)
Tokyo Soir Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are a few key points from the analysis:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 864 and 887, with the most recent closing price at 872. This indicates some volatility in the stock price.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 40-50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line has been below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been fluctuating, indicating some potential shifts in momentum.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- **Simple Moving Average (SMA)**: The closing prices have been below the SMA, indicating a bearish trend.
- **Exponential Moving Average (EMA)**: The EMA values have been slightly lower than the closing prices, also suggesting a bearish sentiment.
- **Weighted Moving Average (WMA)**: The WMA values have been following a similar pattern to the EMA, indicating a bearish trend.
4. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be in a short-term bearish phase based on the moving averages and MACD indicator. However, the RSI values suggest a neutral sentiment. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential changes in trend.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and the total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.In terms of profitability, the profit margin is 26.31% and the operating margin is 30.74%. The company has a return on assets of 22.07% and a return on equity of 147.25%. The most recent quarter ended on March 31, 2024, and the fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
From the income statement, we see that EBITDA is $131.39 billion, revenue is $381.62 billion, diluted EPS is $6.44, gross profit is $169.15 billion, revenue per share is $24.54, and net income to common is $100.39 billion. The quarterly revenue growth is -4.3% and the quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
In terms of stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 1.53 billion float shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions. The short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary reveals a beta of 1.264, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The 52-week low and high prices are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively, with a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date set for May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, ranging from 38% to 44% over the same period.
3. Despite the increase in sales, the net income has not shown a consistent upward trend, with fluctuations in the range of $57.4 billion to $98.0 billion.
4. The earnings per share (EPS) have also varied, with fluctuations in both basic and diluted EPS figures over the years.
5. The company has been able to maintain a strong EBITDA margin, with values consistently above 30%.
6. Operating expenses, including research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses, have also increased over the years, reflecting the company's investment in growth and operations.
7. The company has managed to generate positive EBIT and EBITDA each year, indicating operational efficiency.
8. The effective tax rate has fluctuated over the years, impacting the net income figures.
9. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of basic and diluted shares outstanding, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
10. Overall, the company's revenue growth has been positive, but net income and EPS figures have shown variability due to factors such as operating expenses and taxes.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. Provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements consistently.
10. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem well-maintained based on the balance sheet data.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.
MACD of 8040
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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