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Analysis TOP CULTURE Co.,Ltd. (7640)

6/2/2024

Analysis TOP CULTURE Co.,Ltd. (7640)

Analysis of TOP CULTURE Co.,Ltd. (7640)

TOP CULTURE Co., Ltd. (symbol: 7640) has been showing some interesting trends in its recent stock performance based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 152 and 157 in the past few days, with no significant upward or downward trend. This indicates a period of consolidation or indecision among investors.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 50, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This further supports the idea of a sideways movement in the stock price.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been fluctuating around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all close to each other and have been relatively stable. This also aligns with the sideways movement in the stock price.

4. **Overall Assessment**:
- Based on the data provided, TOP CULTURE Co., Ltd. seems to be in a period of consolidation with no clear trend in either direction. Investors may be waiting for more significant news or developments to drive the stock price in the near future.

As always, it's essential to conduct further analysis and consider additional factors before making any investment decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its forward and trailing P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios indicate the company's valuation in the market.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, indicating consistent growth.
2. However, there was a slight decrease in revenue from 2022 to 2023, suggesting a possible slowdown in growth or other factors affecting revenue generation.
3. Overall, the company has shown strong revenue performance over the past four years, with significant growth compared to the initial year.

These insights can help in assessing the company's financial health and performance in terms of revenue generation.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS estimate is also higher than the $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to grow at a rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, in the past 5 years, the company has experienced a higher growth rate with a CAGR of about 20.1%.

Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a steady growth rate in the near future, although at a slightly lower pace compared to the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential upside according to analysts' predictions. However, it's important to consider other factors and do your own research before making any investment decisions.

MACD of 7640

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link