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Analysis Topdanmark AS (TPDNF)

5/31/2024

Analysis Topdanmark AS (TPDNF)

Analysis of Topdanmark AS (TPDNF)

Topdanmark AS is showing a consistent price close of 45.29 across multiple days, indicating stability in the stock price. The RSI indicator is at 0.00, suggesting a neutral momentum in the stock. The MACD indicator, including the signal line and histogram, is also at 0.00, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.

Moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are all at 45.29, aligning with the current price close. This suggests that the stock is trading around its average price.

Overall, based on the provided data, Topdanmark AS appears to be in a period of price stability with no clear trend direction indicated by the technical indicators. Further analysis would be needed to determine potential trading opportunities.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock is held by institutions at 57.59% and insiders at 5.22%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.34, price to sales ratio is 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.

In terms of stock price summary, the beta is 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, and the change over the 52 weeks is 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% on a forward basis and 0.51% on a trailing basis. The last dividend date was on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company reporting a net income of $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA ranging from $81 billion to $129 billion.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and income components, the overall financial performance of the company seems to be on an upward trajectory.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid has increased over the years, which could be a result of higher debt levels or interest rates.
7. Income tax paid has also shown variations, possibly due to changes in tax regulations or profitability.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent expense, reflecting the company's use of equity incentives for employees.
9. The company has been paying dividends regularly, with varying amounts distributed each year.
10. Overall, the cash flow statement provides insights into the company's financial health, liquidity, and capital allocation strategies.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It is important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of estimates, from $164 to $250. The current price of $191.57 is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162.8 billion and the lowest in 2023 at $135.4 billion.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, reaching $217.4 billion in 2022 and then slightly decreasing to $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has also shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107.1 billion and the lowest in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities compared to current liabilities.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets, such as investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment, which indicates a focus on long-term growth.

MACD of TPDNF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link