Analysis Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited (TFCILTD)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited (TFCILTD)
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited (TFCILTD) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around the mid-range, indicating a balanced market sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been slightly negative, suggesting a potential bearish trend.The stock prices have been fluctuating around the Moving Average (MA) values, with the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) showing different levels. This indicates some uncertainty in the market regarding the future direction of the stock price.
Overall, TFCILTD seems to be experiencing some indecision in the market, with mixed signals from various technical indicators. It would be advisable for investors to closely monitor the stock and wait for clearer signals before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Valuation metrics show metrics such as P/E ratio, PEG ratio, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization. The enterprise value and various ratios provide insights into the company's valuation.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details on payout ratio, dividend dates, dividend yields, and historical dividend data such as the last split date and factor.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a general growth in the company's top line over the years, although there was a slight dip in the most recent fiscal year.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, with a peak in 2019 at $162.8 billion.
3. Non-current assets have shown a steady increase over the years, reaching $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with fluctuations, from $90.5 billion in 2018 to $62.1 billion in 2023.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The company has been actively involved in financing activities, including issuing and repurchasing common stock, issuing long-term debt, and paying dividends.
5. Investing activities have also been significant, with the company making investments, acquisitions, and capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has varied over the years, with the highest amount in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.
7. Interest paid has also fluctuated, with the highest amount paid in 2023.
8. The company has been consistently paying dividends to its shareholders, with varying amounts each year.
9. Depreciation and stock-based compensation have been significant non-cash items impacting the cash flow statement.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have influenced its cash position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has shown a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, analysts project a growth rate of around 9.7% per annum for the next 5 years.
These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company, with a gradual increase in growth rates expected in the upcoming periods compared to the current and past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
MACD of TFCILTD
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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