Analysis Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd. (4970)
5/30/2024
Analysis of Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd. (4970)
Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (symbol: 4970) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 8700 and 9310 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values have been hovering around 50-60, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This indicates a balanced market sentiment.
3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD indicator has been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line. This could indicate a bullish trend in the stock price.
4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The stock price has been consistently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) over the past few days. This could suggest a positive momentum in the stock.
Overall, Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. seems to be in a relatively stable position with some bullish indicators in the short term. However, investors should keep an eye on the price movements and key indicators for any potential changes in trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS in most cases. This indicates a positive outlook for the company's financial performance according to analysts.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth in profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating growth in shareholder value.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for EPS calculations.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, while also managing debt levels effectively.
7. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem to be well-maintained over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
MACD of 4970
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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