Analysis Track Group, Inc. (TRCK)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Track Group, Inc. (TRCK)
Track Group, Inc. is showing a downward trend based on the recent data. The closing prices have been decreasing from 0.33000 on May 14th to 0.21100 on May 28th. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has been consistently low, indicating oversold conditions.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend. The MACD histogram has also been decreasing, indicating weakening momentum.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been declining, further supporting the bearish outlook.
Overall, based on the recent data, Track Group, Inc. appears to be in a bearish phase with a potential for further downside. Investors may want to exercise caution and closely monitor the stock for any signs of a reversal in the trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key data points:Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%
Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213
- Forward PE: 26.213
- Trailing PE: 29.429
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.615
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672
Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%
Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years. The next year is expected to show a higher growth rate compared to the current year, but both are lower than the historical average growth rate over the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164 and the high end at $250. The median forecast is $200, which is close to the current price of $191.57. The average forecast is slightly higher at $202.26. It's important to consider these different perspectives when making investment decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) has also shown a positive trend, indicating operational efficiency.
3. Net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to maintain a strong financial performance.
5. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable.
6. The company has effectively managed its operating expenses in relation to its revenue growth.
7. The non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable over the years.
8. The company has been able to generate consistent income from its core operations.
9. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively constant.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenue figures, has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has also been varying, indicating changes in employee incentives over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. It indicates growth and confidence among analysts in the company's future earnings potential.
MACD of TRCK
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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