Analysis Travelers Cos Inc-The (TRV)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Travelers Cos Inc-The (TRV)
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock has been showing some volatility in recent days. The RSI indicator values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating indecision in the market. The MACD indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend, but the MACD histogram has shown some improvement, indicating a possible reversal.The stock prices have been trading below the moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA), indicating a bearish sentiment. However, the recent price movements have shown some consolidation around the support levels.
Overall, the short-term outlook for Travelers Cos Inc (TRV) seems to be uncertain, with mixed signals from the technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price movements and key support/resistance levels before making any trading decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing more in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a general trend of expected growth in earnings per share both quarterly and annually, with the next year showing a higher average estimate compared to the current year. It's also notable that the number of analysts providing estimates is consistent across the different periods, indicating a level of confidence in these projections.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with varying growth rates.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $201.43 and an average forecast of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
MACD of TRV
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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