Analysis Triad Group PLC (TRD)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Triad Group PLC (TRD)
Triad Group PLC has shown a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions at 68.96, suggesting a possible reversal or correction in the near future.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 5.22, but the MACD line is below the signal line, indicating a potential bearish signal. The MACD histogram is negative at -1.23, further supporting a bearish outlook.
The stock price is currently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a bullish trend. However, the difference between the EMA and WMA is narrowing, which could signal a potential trend reversal.
Overall, while the stock has been on an uptrend, caution is advised due to the overbought RSI and the bearish signals from the MACD indicator. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action for potential reversals or corrections in the coming days.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company are as follows:1. **Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $77,545,400,000
- Low Estimate: $75,869,000,000
- High Estimate: $79,035,500,000
- Sales Growth: 2%
- Year Ago Sales: $75,725,200,000
- Number of Analysts: 25
2. **Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $85,501,800,000
- Low Estimate: $81,634,900,000
- High Estimate: $91,144,800,000
- Sales Growth: 3%
- Year Ago Sales: $82,854,600,000
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. **Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $357,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $350,189,000,000
- High Estimate: $364,505,000,000
- Sales Growth: 1%
- Year Ago Sales: $354,834,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38
4. **Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):**
- Average Estimate: $380,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $353,721,000,000
- High Estimate: $403,636,000,000
- Sales Growth: 6%
- Year Ago Sales: $357,772,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38
**Key Takeaways:**
- The analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales, with growth expected in both the short term and long term.
- The estimates show a consistent increase in sales figures over the next quarters and years, indicating positive projections for the company's performance.
- The number of analysts providing estimates is relatively stable across the different time periods, adding credibility to the consensus figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The growth rate for the current quarter is estimated to be 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The growth rate for the next quarter is estimated to be 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is estimated to be 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is estimated to be 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the coming years compared to the current period. However, the growth rate is projected to be lower than the average growth rate observed in the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $201.43 and an average forecast of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.
Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price movements, and dividends and splits information.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly, with the highest being in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with the highest recorded in 2023 at $97 billion.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation, with the highest EPS in 2023 at $6.16 and the lowest in 2020 at $3.31.
6. The company has been able to maintain a stable diluted shares outstanding value over the years.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and improving.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. Cash and cash equivalents have been varying, with the highest value in 2019 at $48,844,000,000.
7. Long-term debt has been increasing, reaching $95,281,000,000 in 2023.
8. The provision for risks and charges has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $29,545,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow each year.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
MACD of TRD
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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