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Analysis Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052)

5/31/2024

Analysis Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052)

Analysis of Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052)

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:

1. Price Movement: The stock price has been fluctuating between 2170.00000 and 2223.00000 over the past few days, with the most recent closing price at 2223.00000. This indicates some volatility in the stock.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50.46772, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The MACD line is below the signal line, indicating a bearish signal. However, the MACD histogram is positive, which could suggest a potential reversal.

3. Moving Averages:
- Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA is at 2201.40000, which could act as a support level.
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA is at 2233.77760, indicating an upward trend.
- Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The WMA is at 2201.14624, aligning with the SMA.

Overall, the stock of Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. is currently in a consolidation phase with some bullish signals from the moving averages. Traders and investors may want to monitor the MACD indicator for potential trend reversals and the SMA as a key support level.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming quarters and years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It is important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from $164 to $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential upside according to analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided on time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement highlights significant revenue and EBITDA, with a positive diluted EPS and net income to common ratio. Quarterly revenue and earnings growth have seen slight declines.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding, with a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta above 1, with the stock trading within a range between its fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the stock trading at a relatively high forward and trailing PE. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios indicate the company's valuation in the market.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a moderate payout ratio, with details on dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields provided.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth in profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating growth in shareholder value.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for EPS calculations.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, resulting in a growth in shareholders' equity.
5. Shareholders' equity includes common stock, retained earnings, and other equity components.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in non-current assets for future growth.
7. The accumulated depreciation indicates the wear and tear on the company's assets over the years.
8. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable across the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some key takeaways:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchases and debt issuances, with significant variations in the amounts involved.
4. Investing activities reflect a mix of acquisitions, capital expenditures, and investments, with notable changes in the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.

These insights provide a snapshot of the company's financial performance and strategic decisions over the past few years.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 from the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share both in the short term and the long term.

MACD of 8052

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link