Analysis Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (4890)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (4890)
Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (symbol: 4890) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in recent days. Here is a brief analysis based on the provided data:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 345.00 and 374.00 in the past 10 days.
- There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, with both highs and lows recorded.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been around 40 to 56, indicating a moderate level of price momentum.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) values have been close to the closing prices, indicating stability in the trend.
3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be trading within a range, with no clear trend direction.
- The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- Traders and investors may need to closely monitor the price movements and wait for a clearer trend to emerge before making any significant trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. It is always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures. The increase in the number of analysts providing estimates for the next fiscal year indicates a growing interest in the company's performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
It appears that the company has experienced a significant growth rate in the past 5 years, but analysts are forecasting a lower but still healthy growth rate for the upcoming periods. The next year is expected to show a higher growth rate compared to the current year, and this trend is also expected to continue over the next 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided on time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement reflects solid revenue and net income figures, with a positive EBITDA and operating margin.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding, with a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta above 1, with the stock trading within a range between its fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics indicate a relatively high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the stock trading at a forward PE multiple. The enterprise value is substantial compared to revenue and EBITDA, with a market capitalization reflecting the company's size.
Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals details about dividend rates, yields, and important dates related to dividends and stock splits.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable cost management.
3. Net income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
5. Operating income and EBITDA have generally increased, showing operational efficiency.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBIT margin.
7. Despite fluctuations in non-operating interests and expenses, the overall financial performance appears strong.
8. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively constant.
9. The company has been able to generate consistent income from continuous operations.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems robust and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of short-term debt in the current liabilities, indicating a need for short-term financing.
8. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, impacting the shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts forecast an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
MACD of 4890
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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