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Analysis Tsuruha Holdings Inc. (3391)

5/30/2024

Analysis Tsuruha Holdings Inc. (3391)

Analysis of Tsuruha Holdings Inc. (3391)

Tsuruha Holdings Inc. (symbol: 3391) has shown a recent uptrend in its stock price, with the price closing at 11,040 on the latest available date. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is at 71.90, indicating that the stock may be overbought in the short term.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative at -130.26, with the MACD line below the signal line. This suggests a bearish signal for the stock.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 9,724, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 9,842.86, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 9,674.76. The stock price is currently above all these moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.

Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, Tsuruha Holdings Inc. appears to be in a bullish trend in the short term, but caution should be exercised due to the overbought condition indicated by the RSI.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a generally positive growth trajectory for the company over the past few years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets, possibly for long-term growth and sustainability.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, which the company manages within its current assets.
8. The company has been retaining earnings and maintaining a stable level of common stock.
9. Overall, the financial health of the company seems robust, with a good balance between assets, liabilities, and equity.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
5. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial health, operational performance, and strategic decisions over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS in most cases. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not supplied at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company's book value per share is $4.837, while the total cash per share is $4.379. The total debt to equity ratio is high at 140.968.

In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The most recent quarter ended on March 31, 2024, with a revenue of $381.62 billion and a net income of $100.39 billion. The company's EBITDA is $131.39 billion and the diluted EPS is $6.43.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53 and a short percent of shares outstanding of 0.65%. The float shares are 15.31 billion and the shares outstanding are 15.33 billion. The majority of shares are held by institutions (57.59%) rather than insiders (5.22%).

In terms of valuations metrics, the company has a PEG ratio of 26.32 and a forward P/E ratio of 26.32. The trailing P/E ratio is 29.59 and the price to book ratio is 39.34. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion and the market capitalization is $2.92 trillion. The price to sales ratio is 7.65, while the enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76 and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.

The stock price summary shows a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week low was $164.08 and the high was $199.62, resulting in a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of 1. The dividend yield is 0.53% and the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The ex-dividend date is on May 10, 2024, and the dividend date is on May 16, 2024.

MACD of 3391

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link