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Analysis TUI AG (TUIB)

5/31/2024

Analysis TUI AG (TUIB)

Analysis of TUI AG (TUIB)

TUI AG is a German multinational travel and tourism company. Looking at the recent stock data, we can see that the price has been quite volatile in the past few days. On April 12th, there was a significant drop in the price from an open of 0.56000 to a close of 0.28900. This could indicate a bearish trend or a sudden negative event affecting the stock.

However, it's important to note that on April 6th, the stock closed at 112.00000, which was a significant increase from the previous days. This could indicate some positive news or market sentiment driving the price up.

Overall, TUI AG seems to be experiencing some volatility in its stock price recently. It would be important to look at other indicators such as RSI, MACD, and moving averages to get a more comprehensive analysis of the stock's performance and potential future trends.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to experience healthy growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its forward and trailing P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other valuation metrics suggest a sizable company.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a history of dividend payments and a recent split. The company has a moderate dividend yield and payout ratio, with upcoming dividend and ex-dividend dates provided.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has increased from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating improving profitability.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the growth of operating income outpacing the increase in expenses.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
8. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company's net income has been on an upward trajectory, reflecting efficient tax management strategies.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, while also managing debt levels effectively.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures, with varying levels of investment each year.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects an increase compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link