Analysis UBS (0Y49)
5/27/2024
Analysis of UBS (0Y49)
Based on the provided data for UBS (symbol: 0Y49), we can see the following key points:1. Price Movement:
- The closing price has been relatively stable around 20.27 for the initial data points.
- There is a significant increase in the closing price on 2024-05-23 and 2024-05-24, reaching 25.45 and 25.27 respectively.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) values indicate overbought conditions on 2024-05-23 and 2024-05-24, with values above 70.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators are not available for analysis in the provided data.
- Moving Averages (MA) show a general upward trend in the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and WMA (Weighted Moving Average) values.
3. Overall Analysis:
- The sudden increase in closing prices on 2024-05-23 and 2024-05-24 could indicate a bullish trend.
- The RSI values suggest that the stock may be overbought, which could lead to a potential reversal or correction.
- The lack of MACD data limits the analysis of momentum and trend strength.
In conclusion, further analysis incorporating additional technical indicators and market context would be beneficial to make a more comprehensive assessment of UBS stock (symbol: 0Y49).
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the previous year's EPS in most cases, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term and moderate growth in the long term.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The company's stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, and 200-day moving average of $180.79. The 52-week low and high prices are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97 with a yield of 0.51%, while the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
From the data provided, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
- The company experienced significant growth in revenue between 2020 and 2022, indicating positive performance.
- Despite a slight dip in revenue in 2023, the company's overall revenue remains at a high level compared to the base year of 2020.
These trends suggest that the company has been successful in generating revenue over the past four fiscal years, with notable growth up to 2022.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
Overall, the company's assets and liabilities have been increasing over the years, with fluctuations in shareholders' equity.
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
Get access to the full analysis
- Over 35 000 indexes
- CFD, Forex, Crypto and Stocks Exchange
- Over 150 Indicators
- Pattern and candle analysis
- Support and resistance levels
- Fundamental, technical and sentimental analysis
- Power from AI
