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Analysis UCB S.A. (UCBJF)

5/31/2024

Analysis UCB S.A. (UCBJF)

Analysis of UCB S.A. (UCBJF)

UCB S.A. is showing a consistent closing price of 132.00 over the past 10 days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is at a high level of 70.75, indicating that the stock may be overbought. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a positive value, suggesting a bullish trend. However, the MACD histogram is decreasing, indicating a potential reversal in the trend.

Overall, UCB S.A. seems to be in a strong bullish trend, but investors should be cautious of a possible reversal in the near future due to the high RSI level and the decreasing MACD histogram.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the short ratio is low, and a significant portion of shares is held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264, and the 52-week range shows a moderate change.

Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued based on the PEG ratio and price multiples. The market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.

The stock price summary highlights key metrics such as moving averages and the 52-week high and low prices.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and upcoming dividend dates.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) and EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) have also shown a positive trend, indicating healthy operational performance.
3. Net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to maintain a strong operating income.
5. The company has effectively managed its cost of goods sold, resulting in stable gross profits.
6. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trajectory, indicating value creation for shareholders.
7. The company has been able to control its income tax expenses effectively, contributing to its overall profitability.
8. Continuous operations have been generating a significant portion of the company's net income, showcasing the core strength of its business model.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory in the upcoming periods, with a slightly lower growth rate compared to the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for the security to increase in value according to the analysts' predictions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company's debt levels have been increasing, as indicated by the rising total liabilities over the years.
8. The company's retained earnings have fluctuated, indicating varying profitability levels over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid has increased over the years, which could indicate higher debt levels or interest rates.
7. Income tax paid has also fluctuated, possibly due to changes in profitability or tax regulations.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant expense for the company, impacting its cash flow.
9. The company has been managing its cash flow well, as evidenced by its ability to maintain a healthy cash position despite fluctuations in other financial activities.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.46 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, ranging from a low estimate of $6.43 to a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $6.13 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests further growth from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the previous year.

Overall, the estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of UCBJF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link