Analysis UMENOHANA Co., Ltd. (7604)
6/5/2024
Analysis of UMENOHANA Co., Ltd. (7604)
UMENOHANA Co., Ltd. (symbol: 7604) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the recent days:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 981 and 998 in the past 10 days.
- The stock closed at 987 on June 4th, slightly lower than the previous day's close of 988.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) has been hovering around 28 to 32, indicating a slightly oversold condition.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has been negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been trending downwards, indicating a potential bearish sentiment in the short term.
3. Overall, UMENOHANA Co., Ltd. seems to be in a short-term bearish phase based on the technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price movements and key support levels to assess the potential for a trend reversal or further downside.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating that the company is facing higher production or acquisition costs.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating that the company has been able to maintain its profitability despite the increase in costs.
4. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has been increasing over the years, showing that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes to generate higher profits.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have also been on the rise, indicating that the company's profitability is being distributed among shareholders.
7. The company's EBITDA has shown a positive trend, reaching $129.2 billion in 2023 from $81 billion in 2020, indicating the company's operational efficiency and profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
9. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, but it should focus on managing its liabilities to ensure long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with varying cash flows and positions each year.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a range from $1.18 to $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a range from $1.33 to $1.51. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter a year ago.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a range from $5.95 to $6.41. This reflects an increase compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a range from $5.92 to $7.31. This suggests a potential increase compared to the EPS of $6.10 from the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a significant increase expected in the next year compared to the current year. However, the growth rate is projected to be lower in the next 5 years compared to the average growth rate of the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price both above the current price. However, there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
MACD of 7604
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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