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Analysis Umiya Tubes Limited (UMIYA)

6/1/2024

Analysis Umiya Tubes Limited (UMIYA)

Analysis of Umiya Tubes Limited (UMIYA)

Umiya Tubes Limited has shown some fluctuations in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been around 44 to 50, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been decreasing, which could indicate a potential reversal in the trend.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) values have been close to each other, indicating stability in the stock price. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has also been consistent with the other moving averages.

Overall, Umiya Tubes Limited seems to be in a consolidation phase with mixed signals from different indicators. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential changes in trend direction.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall positive trend, with fluctuations in retained earnings and other equity components.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in non-current assets for future growth.
7. Overall, the financial position of the company seems stable and well-managed, with a focus on growth and shareholder value.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow TTM of $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows total cash MRQ of $67.15 billion, total debt MRQ of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue TTM of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS TTM of 6.43.

In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares short. The average 10-day volume is 46.86 million, and the average 90-day volume is 57.50 million. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book MRQ of 39.34, price to sales TTM of 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.76, and enterprise to revenue of 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, indicating the company's ability to generate increasing sales.
- It is important to further analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in sales figures to understand the factors driving the company's revenue performance.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant changes, with fluctuations in common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividends.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.35 from a year ago.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This demonstrates an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 from the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting consistent growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate is expected to increase further to 9.7% in the next year.
5. Past 5 Years: Over the past 5 years, the company has seen an average annual growth rate of 20.15%.
6. Next 5 Years: Looking ahead, analysts project an average annual growth rate of 9.72% for the next 5 years.

These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's growth, with a gradual increase in the growth rate over the coming years compared to the past performance.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of UMIYA

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link