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Analysis Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH)

6/1/2024

Analysis Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH)

Analysis of Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH)

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH) has been showing some interesting price movements recently.

On the technical side, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 22.74, indicating that the stock may be oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 45.40, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 42.89, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 44.82. The stock price is currently below these moving averages, indicating a potential downtrend.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Universal Logistics Holdings Inc may be facing some downward pressure in the short term. Traders and investors should closely monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for potential trend reversals or continuation.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

In terms of stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between a fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and revenue ratios are also notable.

The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the percentage change.

Lastly, the dividends and splits information shows details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical splits for the company.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, indicating growth in the company's sales.
2. However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year, suggesting a possible slowdown in sales growth or other factors affecting revenue generation.
3. Overall, the company has shown a strong performance in terms of revenue generation over the past four years, with significant growth up to 2022.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect a slightly lower growth rate in the coming years compared to the past 5 years. However, there is still a positive outlook for the company's growth in both the short and long term.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of ULH

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204