Analysis UPL Limited (UPL)
5/29/2024
Analysis of UPL Limited (UPL)
UPL Limited is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. Price Movement: The closing prices for UPL stock have been fluctuating, with some days showing an increase and others a decrease. This indicates a certain level of volatility in the stock.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 50, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values suggest bullish momentum, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram.
3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values are providing different perspectives on the stock's price trend.
Overall, UPL Limited seems to be experiencing some volatility in its stock price, but the technical indicators suggest a potential bullish momentum. Traders and investors may want to keep an eye on further price movements and monitor the technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, reported results after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not supplied at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows total cash at $67.15 billion, total debt at $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 15.31 billion float shares and 94.31 million shares shorted. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, and trailing PE of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, a 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $143.6 billion.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, reaching $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, from $248 billion in 2019 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity throughout the years, indicating a healthy financial position.
Cash Flow 💶
Based on the cash flow data provided, we can draw the following conclusions:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with a significant increase in 2022 compared to 2021 and a slight decrease in 2023 compared to 2022.
2. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
3. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, it has shown a positive trend, indicating the company's ability to generate and retain cash.
4. Financing activities have had a significant impact on the company's cash flow, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt-related activities.
5. Investing activities have also played a role in the cash flow, with significant amounts being used for acquisitions, capital expenditures, and investments.
6. Operating activities have been generating a substantial amount of cash flow for the company, with net income and depreciation being significant factors.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operations, impacting the cash flow.
Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of financing, investing, and operating activities that have influenced its cash position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This demonstrates an increase compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.
4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This forecast suggests growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.
Overall, the analysts are predicting a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance in the near future.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the growth rates are expected to vary across different time periods. The company is projected to experience a higher growth rate in the next 5 years compared to the current year and next quarter. Additionally, the past 5 years have seen a significantly higher growth rate compared to the projections for the future, indicating a potential change in the company's growth trajectory.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that analysts generally expect the price to increase in the future.
MACD of UPL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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