Analysis Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd. (UPSURGE)
5/30/2024
Analysis of Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd. (UPSURGE)
Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd. has shown a recent uptrend in its stock price, with the price closing at 49.80 on the most recent trading day. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a neutral sentiment at 50.65, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 1.32, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating a bullish trend. The Moving Average (MA) indicator is also positive at 49.31, further supporting the bullish sentiment.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd. appears to be in a positive trend with potential for further upside. However, investors should continue to monitor the stock's performance and market conditions for any changes in the trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided on time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a decent current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement indicates significant revenue and EBITDA, with a good gross profit margin and diluted EPS. Quarterly revenue and earnings growth have seen a slight decline.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding, with a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta above 1, with the stock trading within a range between its fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the stock trading at a relatively high forward and trailing PE. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios suggest the stock may be considered overvalued.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a moderate payout ratio, with details on dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields over different periods.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company reporting a net income of $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable or decreasing trend in expenses like research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses.
7. Despite fluctuations in non-operating interests and other income/expenses, the company has maintained a strong financial performance with increasing EBIT and EBITDA figures.
8. The company's effective tax rate has also been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent tax planning strategies.
Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be on an upward trajectory, with increasing revenues, profits, and earnings per share.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, indicating growth in the company's overall value.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with some years showing higher cash reserves and others showing higher inventory levels.
3. Non-current assets have generally increased, with investments and advances being a significant portion of the assets.
4. Total liabilities have also shown an increasing trend, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has varied, but overall, it has shown an increasing trend, indicating a positive retained earnings position.
6. The company has been utilizing short-term debt for its operations, but long-term debt is also a significant part of the liabilities.
7. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
8. The provision for risks and charges has been consistent over the years, indicating a stable approach to risk management.
9. The company has been maintaining a balance between current and non-current assets and liabilities, ensuring liquidity and long-term stability.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to have a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is expected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher CAGR of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods, with a slightly lower growth rate compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of UPSURGE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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