Analysis Vacasa, Inc. (VCSA)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Vacasa, Inc. (VCSA)
Vacasa, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The price of VCSA has been fluctuating over the past few days, with the closing price ranging from 3.8500 to 4.9000. This indicates some volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are mostly below 50, indicating a bearish sentiment in the stock.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values are negative, suggesting a bearish trend.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the closing prices, indicating a downward trend.
3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be in a bearish phase based on the RSI, MACD, and moving average indicators.
- The recent price movements show some downward pressure on the stock.
- Investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential reversal or further downward movement.
It is important to conduct further analysis and consider other factors before making any investment decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be relatively stable, with fluctuations in cost of goods sold affecting the overall profitability.
3. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have shown an increasing trend, indicating improved operational efficiency.
4. Net income has also been on the rise, showing that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown slight fluctuations but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, which is important for EPS calculations.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, profitability, and earnings, seems to be positive and improving.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Valuation metrics reveal the company's price-to-earnings ratios, enterprise value, price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales ratio, and market capitalization.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been taking on more debt over the years, as indicated by the increasing total liabilities.
8. The fluctuations in shareholders' equity indicate changes in the company's profitability and retained earnings over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, it has shown a positive trend over the years.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied, reflecting changes in the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities, showing an increasing trend over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS estimate is also higher than the $1.35 EPS from the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a further increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a more substantial increase expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The growth rate for the current quarter is estimated to be 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The growth rate for the next quarter is estimated to be 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is estimated to be 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is estimated to be 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. However, the company is still expected to maintain a healthy growth rate in the upcoming periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that analysts are generally optimistic about the security's future performance.
MACD of VCSA
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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