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Analysis Valeura Energy Inc. (VLERF)

5/26/2024

Analysis Valeura Energy Inc. (VLERF)

Analysis of Valeura Energy Inc. (VLERF)

Valeura Energy Inc. (VLERF) has shown some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is currently at 23.21, indicating that the stock may be oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line and the histogram showing a downward trend.

Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 3.85, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 3.70, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 3.74. The stock price is currently below these moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Valeura Energy Inc. may be facing some downward pressure in the short term. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential reversal or trend change before making any decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in sales both in the short term and the long term. The increase in sales estimates for the next fiscal year suggests that analysts are optimistic about the company's performance and potential for growth.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price is below both the average and median predicted prices. The analysts' opinions vary, with a wide range between the low and high estimates. The median forecast of $200 suggests a potential increase in the security's price from its current level.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Earnings

The company's results for the quarter ending April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending February 27, 2025, are available through the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results for the quarter ending October 31, 2024, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 15.31 billion float shares and 94.31 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.55% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, and trailing PE of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general increasing trend in sales over the years.
- The highest sales figure was recorded in FY 2022.

These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations and growth through a combination of liabilities and shareholders' equity.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been significant and has increased over the years, affecting the value of non-current assets.
9. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts to support its operations and investments.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a focus on long-term growth and investment.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some key takeaways from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
5. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.

Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its cash position over the years.

MACD of VLERF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204