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Analysis ValiRx plc (VAL)

5/28/2024

Analysis ValiRx plc (VAL)

Analysis of ValiRx plc (VAL)

ValiRx plc is showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators based on the provided data:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices for ValiRx plc have been fluctuating between 1.9 and 4.0, showing significant volatility in the stock.
- The stock seems to have experienced a sharp increase in price on May 21st, opening at 4.15 and closing at 3.2.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 48-52, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values are negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values are providing different insights into the stock's price trend.

3. Overall Analysis:
- ValiRx plc seems to be experiencing price volatility with no clear trend based on the RSI and MACD indicators.
- Investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals or significant price movements.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year. It indicates growth and improvement in the company's performance as projected by the analysts.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth rates expected in the upcoming fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a higher growth rate expected in the next year compared to the current year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Stock statistics show details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics reveal information about the company's price-to-earnings ratios, enterprise value, price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales ratio, and market capitalization.

Lastly, dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing sales over the years.
- The highest sales figure was recorded in FY 2022.

These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified period.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets over the years, which is reflected in the increase in total assets.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in both current and non-current liabilities, which the company needs to manage effectively.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
9. The company has been maintaining a healthy amount of cash and cash equivalents over the years, which is essential for liquidity and operational needs.
10. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable, but close monitoring of liabilities and investments is necessary for future growth and sustainability.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow from these activities each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial position over the years.

MACD of VAL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link