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Analysis Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956)

5/28/2024

Analysis Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956)

Analysis of Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956)

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (symbol: 9956) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 2289.00000 and 2376.00000 over the past few days.
- The stock closed at 2365.00000 on the most recent trading day, showing some stability.

2. Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a balanced momentum.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend.

3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) has been relatively stable around 2373.68000.
- The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has been slightly decreasing, indicating a potential downtrend.
- The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has also been showing a slight decline.

4. Overall:
- The stock seems to be consolidating with some bearish signals from the MACD indicator.
- Traders and investors may want to monitor the support and resistance levels closely for potential trading opportunities.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 15.31 billion float shares and 94.31 million shares shorted. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.55% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, trailing P/E of 29.43, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18, price-to-sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise-to-EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise-to-revenue ratio of 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The company has a forward annual dividend rate of $1, a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%, and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth in profitability.
6. The company has been able to maintain a stable EBITDA margin over the years, reflecting operational efficiency.
7. The company's tax expenses have also increased with the rise in income, suggesting compliance with tax regulations.
8. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown an upward trend, indicating an increase in profitability on a per-share basis.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Retained earnings have fluctuated but have generally been positive.
10. The company has been maintaining a balance between current and non-current assets and liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions based on the data provided:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. The company has been generating positive net income each year.
8. Depreciation and stock-based compensation are significant non-cash items affecting the cash flow.
9. The company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, investing, and financing activities that impact its overall financial health.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to experience healthy growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential opportunity for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of 9956

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link