Analysis Valqua, Ltd. (7995)
5/24/2024
Analysis of Valqua, Ltd. (7995)
Valqua, Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are some key points from the analysis:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3780 and 4235 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the market.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are mostly below 30, indicating that the stock may be oversold and could potentially see a reversal in the near future.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values are negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The combination of technical indicators and moving averages suggests a bearish sentiment for Valqua, Ltd. The stock may continue to face downward pressure in the short term.
Investors should closely monitor the RSI values for any signs of a potential reversal and consider the MACD values for confirmation of a change in trend. It is also important to keep an eye on key support and resistance levels to assess the stock's future price movements.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This compares to the EPS of $6.59 for the previous fiscal year, based on forecasts from 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the coming years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next 5 years. The current and next year growth rates also show positive momentum for the company.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, and trailing PE of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, a 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has increased over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased from $3.28 in 2020 to $6.16 in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been managed efficiently, contributing to the company's overall financial performance.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash and cash equivalents.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other long-term assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in both current and non-current assets, indicating growth and expansion.
7. There is a mix of short-term and long-term liabilities, with a provision for risks and charges included.
8. Retained earnings have varied, but overall, the company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity position.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant factor in the company's cash flow statement.
8. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders, with varying amounts each year.
MACD of 7995
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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