Analysis Varonis Systems Inc (VRNS)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Varonis Systems Inc (VRNS)
Based on the provided data for Varonis Systems Inc (VRNS) for the past 10 days:1. **Price Movement**: The closing price has been fluctuating between $43.13 and $45.07.
2. **Trend Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been oscillating around the 50 mark, indicating a neutral trend.
- **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA**: The Simple Moving Average has been relatively stable around $44.30.
- **EMA**: The Exponential Moving Average has shown a slight upward trend, currently around $44.70.
- **WMA**: The Weighted Moving Average has also been increasing, currently around $44.30.
3. **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been hovering around 0, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish momentum.
In conclusion, based on the indicators, Varonis Systems Inc (VRNS) seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may need to wait for a clearer signal before making trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company's market capitalization and enterprise value also provided.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits data show the company's dividend dates, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics, as well as information on past stock splits.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a positive trend in sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, showing confidence from analysts in the company's performance and potential growth.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical performance. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that there may be potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a significant increase in revenue from 2020 to 2021, indicating strong growth.
2. The revenue continued to grow in 2022, reaching its peak.
3. In 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year, but it still remained higher than the 2021 figures.
Overall, the company has shown a positive revenue trend over the past four years, with substantial growth up to 2022 and a slight dip in 2023.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
Overall, the company's assets and liabilities have been increasing over the years, with fluctuations in shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with strategic decisions impacting its cash flow position.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This is slightly higher than the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter a year ago.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.
4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This is an improvement over the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth in both the quarterly and annual periods.
MACD of VRNS
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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