Analysis Verisk Analytics Inc (VRSK)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Verisk Analytics Inc (VRSK)
Verisk Analytics Inc (VRSK) has shown a recent uptrend in its stock price, with the price closing at $252.41. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions at 73.98, suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation in the near future.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 6.16, with the signal line at 4.55, indicating a bullish trend. However, the MACD histogram is increasing, which may signal a potential weakening of the bullish momentum.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 234.75, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 238.51, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 238.79. The stock price is currently above all these moving averages, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Overall, while the stock has been performing well recently, investors should be cautious of the overbought RSI levels and monitor the MACD histogram for any signs of a potential reversal in the short term.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, which represents a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, and analysts expect this growth to continue at a slightly lower but still healthy rate in the coming years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with a low estimate of $164, a high estimate of $275, and an average estimate of $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which falls below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing revenue over the years.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and may indicate areas that require further analysis or attention.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
7. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has also been fluctuating, indicating changes in employee compensation strategies.
9. Overall, the company's financial performance and cash flow management have shown variability over the years, with some key trends and patterns emerging.
MACD of VRSK
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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