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Analysis Viatris Inc (VTRS)

6/4/2024

Analysis Viatris Inc (VTRS)

Analysis of Viatris Inc (VTRS)

Viatris Inc (VTRS) has been showing a downward trend in recent days based on the provided data. The stock price has been decreasing gradually, with the RSI indicator showing values below 50, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.

The MACD indicator is also negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential continuation of the downward movement in the stock price.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator is above the current stock price, indicating a bearish trend. Both the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are above the current price, further supporting the bearish outlook.

Overall, based on the indicators and the recent price movements, Viatris Inc (VTRS) appears to be in a bearish phase. Traders and investors may consider exercising caution or implementing risk management strategies when dealing with this stock.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and debt payments.
5. Investing activities also show significant cash flows, with the company making investments through acquisitions and purchases of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item impacting the company's financials.
8. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders consistently over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The year-ago EPS for this quarter was $1.35.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. In comparison, the EPS for the previous fiscal year was $5.67.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This is an increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total revenue is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate for total revenue is projected to be $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the upcoming fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range of $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to effectively manage its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs over the years.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent financial management approach.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained stable over the years.

Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with consistent revenue growth, effective cost management, and increasing profitability.

MACD of VTRS

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link