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Analysis Victoria PLC (VCP)

5/30/2024

Analysis Victoria PLC (VCP)

Analysis of Victoria PLC (VCP)

Victoria PLC is showing some mixed signals based on the provided data.

- The RSI indicator is hovering around 50, indicating a neutral stance in terms of momentum.
- The MACD indicator is negative, suggesting a bearish trend, but the MACD histogram is showing signs of potential reversal.
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator is below the price close, indicating a bearish trend.
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all below the price close, supporting the bearish sentiment.

Overall, the indicators are sending mixed signals, with some pointing to a bearish trend and others showing signs of potential reversal. Traders and investors may want to wait for more clarity before making any significant decisions regarding Victoria PLC.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Most Recent Quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.53
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-Day Volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-Day Volume: 57,498,254
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.589%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.65%

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise Value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.732
- Market Capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $176.2646
- 200-Day Moving Average: $181.0429
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 6.853%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5097%

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $200. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is below both the average and median forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to analysts.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the revenue trend shows consistent growth.
3. The company's ability to generate revenue has been strong, indicating a healthy demand for its products or services.
4. Investors and analysts can view this revenue growth positively as it reflects the company's ability to increase its top line consistently.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with current liabilities being a significant portion of the total liabilities.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations but has generally been positive, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets like machinery, equipment, and investments to support its operations and growth.
7. The company has been managing its short-term debts and accounts payable effectively over the years.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, indicating the age and wear and tear of the company's assets.
9. The company has been using a mix of cash, short-term investments, and non-current assets to maintain liquidity and long-term growth.
10. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable, with a focus on asset growth and managing liabilities effectively.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with changes in common dividends, stock repurchases, debt issuances, and other financing charges.
6. Investing activities also vary, with changes in acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures.
7. The company's net income has been relatively stable, with fluctuations in depreciation, deferred taxes, and other non-cash items.
8. Stock-based compensation has also shown variations over the years.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance, cash management, and investment activities over the past few years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

MACD of VCP

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link