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Analysis VRG S.A. (VRG)

5/28/2024

Analysis VRG S.A. (VRG)

Analysis of VRG S.A. (VRG)

VRG S.A. is showing a relatively stable performance based on the provided data. The stock price has been fluctuating within a narrow range, with the closing prices ranging from 3.36 to 3.48 over the past few days.

Key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Moving Averages (MA) are also indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. The RSI values are around 55-60, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD indicator is positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating a potential bullish trend.

Overall, based on the current data, VRG S.A. seems to be in a consolidation phase with a slight bullish bias. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock for a potential breakout above the recent high of 3.48 or a breakdown below the support level of 3.36 for clearer trading signals.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key information:

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67,150,000,128, total debt (MRQ) is $104,590,000,128, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue (TTM) is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.073%
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213
- Forward P/E: 26.213
- Trailing P/E: 29.429
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book (MRQ): 39.181
- Price to Sales (TTM): 7.615
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating overall profitability growth.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. The company's tax expenses have also increased with the rise in income, which is a common trend.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be positive, with increasing revenues and profitability over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, with 26 analysts providing forecasts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, lower than the $1.46 reported a year ago. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, with 25 analysts contributing to the forecasts.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The low estimate is $6.43, while the high estimate is $6.92, with 39 analysts providing estimates.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, compared to $6.59 in the previous year. The EPS estimates range from $6.40 to $7.90, with 39 analysts offering their forecasts.

Overall, the trend indicates a gradual increase in earnings per share over the next few quarters and years, as projected by analysts.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years, with a slight increase in the next year compared to the current year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. The current price is slightly below the average forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of VRG

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link