Analysis Welby Inc. (4438)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Welby Inc. (4438)
Welby Inc. stock (symbol: 4438) has been showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $511 and $562 over the past few days, with the latest closing price at $544. There seems to be some volatility in the stock price.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around 40-50, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been fluctuating around 0, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish momentum.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors might be cautious until a clearer trend emerges.
It would be advisable to keep an eye on the stock price movements and monitor key technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25. The high estimate is $79,035,500,000, and the low estimate is $75,869,000,000.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25. The high estimate is $91,144,800,000, and the low estimate is $81,634,900,000.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38. The high estimate is $364,505,000,000, and the low estimate is $350,189,000,000.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38. The high estimate is $403,636,000,000, and the low estimate is $353,721,000,000.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years: Over the past 5 years, the company has experienced an average annual growth rate of 20.15%.
6. Next 5 Years: Looking ahead, analysts project an average annual growth rate of 9.72% for the next 5 years.
These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company, with a gradual increase in growth rate expected in the upcoming periods compared to the past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between a fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and revenue ratios are also notable.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, a beta value, and the range of prices over the past fifty-two weeks.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratios, and dividend yields, as well as details on past stock splits.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a consistent increase in sales over the previous years.
- The highest sales figure was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends indicate fluctuations in the company's revenue performance over the analyzed period.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $143.6 billion.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, reaching $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen from the increasing trend in long-term debt.
8. The company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity, indicating a healthy financial position.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
MACD of 4438
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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