Analysis Winmark Corp (WINA)
5/30/2024
Analysis of Winmark Corp (WINA)
Winmark Corp (WINA) has been showing a downward trend in the recent days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, indicating a bearish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential for further downside.The stock price has been below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) in the last few days, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Winmark Corp (WINA) appears to be in a bearish phase, and investors may want to exercise caution or consider potential short-term selling opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the quarter ending April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending February 27, 2025, are with the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results for the quarter ending October 31, 2024, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending August 1, 2024, showed an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a healthy balance sheet showing a current ratio slightly above 1. The profit margin and operating margin are also favorable, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the short ratio is low, and institutional ownership is relatively high. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range over the past 52 weeks.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are significant, with a relatively high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio. The enterprise value to EBITDA and revenue ratios are also notable.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, 52-week high and low prices, and the percentage change over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratios, and historical dividend yields. The company has had a recent stock split and offers a forward annual dividend yield.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive outlook for both quarterly and annual earnings per share, with expected growth compared to the previous year. It's important to note that these are analyst projections and actual results may vary.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly high growth rate projected for the next 5 years. This indicates a positive outlook for the company's future performance according to analyst estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBITDA has also shown a consistent growth trend.
3. Net income has been increasing year over year.
4. The company has been able to maintain a healthy gross profit margin.
5. Operating income has shown a positive trend.
6. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses.
7. The basic and diluted earnings per share have been relatively stable.
8. The company has been able to generate positive EBIT in each fiscal year.
9. The non-operating interest income has been higher than the non-operating interest expense in most years.
10. The company has been paying income taxes consistently.
11. The net income from continuous operations has been positive in all years.
Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, seems to be on a positive trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in both current and non-current assets to support its operations and growth.
7. There is a healthy mix of cash, investments, and other assets in the company's portfolio.
8. The company has been managing its debt levels while maintaining positive equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
MACD of WINA
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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