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Analysis Xtrackers - Bloomberg Commodity ex-Agriculture & Livestock Swap UCITS ETF (0MUS)

5/28/2024

Analysis Xtrackers - Bloomberg Commodity ex-Agriculture & Livestock Swap UCITS ETF (0MUS)

Analysis of Xtrackers - Bloomberg Commodity ex-Agriculture & Livestock Swap UCITS ETF (0MUS)

Xtrackers - Bloomberg Commodity ex-Agriculture & Livestock Swap UCITS ETF is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. Price Movement:
- The price has been fluctuating between 22.185 and 26.565.
- There seems to be an overall upward trend in the price, with some fluctuations in between.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) values indicate that the ETF has been moving between overbought and oversold levels, suggesting potential reversal points.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) histogram shows fluctuations around the zero line, indicating potential changes in the trend direction.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are showing a general upward trend, with the price staying above these averages.

3. Recent Performance:
- The ETF has shown a recent price increase, with RSI indicating a strengthening trend.
- MACD histogram is positive, suggesting bullish momentum.
- Moving averages are also trending upwards, indicating a positive outlook.

Overall, based on the analysis of price movements and technical indicators, Xtrackers - Bloomberg Commodity ex-Agriculture & Livestock Swap UCITS ETF seems to be in an upward trend with some short-term fluctuations. Traders and investors may want to monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for potential entry or exit points.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have shown an increasing trend, reaching $117.7 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been on the rise, reaching $97 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares over the years.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be improving, with increasing revenues and profitability.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, the results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has an average 10-day volume of 52.90 million and an average 90-day volume of 62.82 million. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, and a 200-day moving average of $180.79.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE ratio of 26.21, and trailing PE ratio of 29.43. The company's enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and a price to sales ratio of 7.62. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and the enterprise value to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization stands at $2.91 trillion.

Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The company's 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.44 and $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.43 and $6.92, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.40 and $7.90, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.

Overall, it appears that analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years compared to the previous periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has achieved a higher annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the current and upcoming quarters.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of 0MUS

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link