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Analysis Ypsomed Holding AG (YPHDF)

6/4/2024

Analysis Ypsomed Holding AG (YPHDF)

Analysis of Ypsomed Holding AG (YPHDF)

Ypsomed Holding AG (symbol: YPHDF) has been showing a consistent price of 362.00 over the past several days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50.57, indicating a neutral position. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been fluctuating around 0, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish momentum.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator is around 377.48, which is higher than the current price, indicating a potential downward trend. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are also above the current price, supporting the possibility of a bearish movement.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Ypsomed Holding AG may experience a downward trend in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price movements and key support levels to make informed decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with a low estimate of $164, a high estimate of $275, and an average estimate of $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which falls below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a decent current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement indicates significant revenue and EBITDA, with a good gross profit margin and earnings per share.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility in the fifty-two week range and moving averages, with a beta indicating higher volatility compared to the market.

Valuation metrics suggest a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-earnings ratios, along with a substantial market capitalization and enterprise value. The price-to-book ratio is high, indicating potentially overvalued stock.

Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals a moderate payout ratio, with details on dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. The company has experienced consistent revenue growth from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
2. Despite the decrease in revenue in 2023 compared to 2022, the revenue is still higher than the levels in 2020 and 2021.
3. It would be important to analyze the factors contributing to the revenue decrease in 2023 to understand the overall performance of the company in that fiscal year.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets, possibly for long-term growth and sustainability.
7. There is a consistent mix of current and non-current liabilities to support the asset base.
8. Retained earnings have been fluctuating, suggesting variations in profitability over the years.
9. Overall, the company seems to be in a stable financial position with a focus on growth and shareholder value.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
7. Dividends paid out to common shareholders have also varied, with the highest amount in 2020 and the lowest in 2021.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from $5.95 to $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of YPHDF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link