Analysis Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. (4531)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. (4531)
Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 293 and 314, with some volatility in the recent days. The price closed at 293 on the latest trading day.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 37, indicating the stock is approaching oversold conditions.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal. The MACD histogram is negative, indicating a potential downtrend.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price is below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a bearish trend.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be in a short-term bearish phase based on the technical indicators. Traders and investors may exercise caution and monitor the stock closely for any potential reversal or further downtrend.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a healthy balance sheet showing a current ratio slightly above 1. The profit margin and operating margin are also favorable, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, and net income. Return on assets and return on equity metrics are also provided.
Moving on to stock statistics, details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional holdings are included. The valuation metrics show various ratios like PEG ratio, PE ratios, price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.
The stock price summary includes information on beta, moving averages, and the 52-week low and high prices. Dividends and splits data show dividend-related dates, payout ratios, dividend yields, and historical dividend information like the last split date and factor.
Overall, these data points offer a comprehensive overview of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend history.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing consistently, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin over the years, reflecting strong operational performance.
7. The company's tax expenses have also increased with the rise in income, indicating compliance with tax regulations.
8. The earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, indicating growth in shareholder value.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There has been a consistent increase in shareholders' equity, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 for the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%
It is evident that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, there is still expected growth in the upcoming periods, with a notable increase projected for the next year. The company's performance in the past 5 years has been particularly strong, but analysts anticipate a more moderate growth trajectory in the next 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.
MACD of 4531
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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