Analysis Zalando SE (ZAL)
5/24/2024
Analysis of Zalando SE (ZAL)
Zalando SE stock (ZAL) has shown some fluctuations in the recent trading days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 50-70, indicating a moderate level of momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend.The stock price has been moving within a range, with some volatility in the short term. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been trending upwards, indicating a positive outlook for the stock.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Zalando SE stock seems to be in a bullish phase, with potential for further upside. However, investors should keep an eye on the RSI levels and any significant changes in the MACD indicator for a more accurate assessment of the stock's future performance.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results for February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 15.31 billion float shares and 94.31 million shares shorted. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.55% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, and an enterprise value of $2.95 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.18, price to sales ratio is 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, forward annual dividend yield is 0.53%, trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, and trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274.52 billion
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365.82 billion
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394.33 billion
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383.29 billion
From the data, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022, indicating growth in the company's sales.
- However, in FY 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year.
- Overall, the company has shown strong sales performance over the past four years, with significant revenue generation.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate growth in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- In the past 5 years, the company has achieved an average annual growth rate of 20.15%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the historical performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $73,812,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations through a mix of debt and equity, as indicated by the levels of liabilities and shareholders' equity.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing over the years, indicating the aging of the company's assets.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, improvements, and machinery, furniture, and equipment to support its operations.
10. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debt levels to support its growth and operations.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.
MACD of ZAL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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